As of August 2026, First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers has an AI-exposure score of 65/100 (High exposure) on the AI-Safe Careers index. This is an estimate of task exposure, not a prediction of job loss.
Score inputs for this role: This role starts from O*NET 29.1 occupational descriptors and is empirically grounded by Penn/OpenAI GPTs are GPTs study, Anthropic Economic Index (June 26, 2026), Felten, Raj and Seamans AIOE index. BLS labor-market figures are separate context, not score inputs.

AI Exposure Score for

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

65/100
High exposure
LowModerateElevatedHighVery High

More exposed than 80% of the roles we track. Median pay ~US$69,500. About 144,500 projected openings a year (BLS 2024–34 - growth plus replacement).

Pay & demand figures are US medians (BLS, in USD) - your local figures will differ. Your exposure score applies broadly.

Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers?

No exposure score can predict whether AI will replace this role. The 65/100 score means our current model estimates high task exposure from the sources listed on this page. It does not predict an employer decision, headcount, or an individual outcome. The task map below shows the work assessed and where human judgment remains important.

Early-career context (study ages 22-25)

This role's High score and automation-heavy task mix point in the same direction as the study's highest-exposure automation cohort. The measures are not identical, so the study result is context rather than a direct forecast for this role.

The November 2025 revision reports a 16% relative employment decline for workers ages 22-25 in the most AI-exposed U.S. occupations, after firm-level controls, relative to workers in less-exposed fields and more experienced workers in the same occupations.

Use the task map to identify durable work and the skills worth building early.

Stanford Digital Economy Lab, Canaries in the Coal Mine - November 2025 revision

This is group-level U.S. payroll evidence, not a personal forecast. The authors do not claim that AI alone caused the change, and this context does not alter the exposure score.

Data sources, not endorsements: O*NET and curated role data; empirical AI signals where matched; BLS employment, pay, and demand as separate context.Methodology Data sources
Role snapshot

What this role usually involves

O*NET 29.1 exact occupation

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of clerical and administrative support workers.

Common titles
Accounting ManagerCustomer Service ManagerCustomer Service SupervisorOffice ManagerAccounts Payable SupervisorAccounts Receivable Manager
O*NET job-zone preparation
Job Zone 3 · Medium Preparation Needed Most occupations in this zone require training in vocational schools, related on-the-job experience, or an associate's degree. Previous work-related skill, knowledge, or experience is required for these occupations.

Broad guidance for this preparation level; exact requirements vary by role and employer.

Skills and knowledge
CoordinationMonitoringReading ComprehensionSocial PerceptivenessSpeakingCritical Thinking
Work context
Frequent contact with othersDecision latitudeIndoor controlled settingRepeating tasks

Source: O*NET 29.1 exact occupation - First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers, SOC 43-1011.00. Context describes the role; the AI-exposure score remains a separate task-exposure estimate.

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First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers tasks, by AI exposure

Automatable
  • Research, compile, and prepare reports, manuals, correspondence, or other information required by management or governmental agencies.
  • Maintain records pertaining to inventory, personnel, orders, supplies, or machine maintenance.
  • Prepare and issue work schedules, deadlines, and duty assignments for office or administrative staff.
12 more automatable tasks locked in the report.
Augmentable
  • Coordinate activities with other supervisory personnel or with other work units or departments.
  • Supervise the work of office, administrative, or customer service employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, deadlines, and proper procedures, correcting errors or problems.
3 more augmentable tasks locked in the report.
Durable

No durable tasks identified for this role - its individually-assessed tasks split 75% automatable / 25% augmentable.

We analyzed all 20 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers tasks - 15 automatable and 5 augmentable. The full task map - every task with exactly what to do about each - is in your Career Report.

Your report unlocks three concrete artifacts

Full task map

Every task scored with what to automate, augment, or protect.

Adjacent path comparison

Related roles with exposure deltas, salary, demand, and reachability. Lower-exposure options appear only when the data supports them.

30/60/90 plan + PDF

A keepable roadmap plus resume and LinkedIn repositioning.

Grounded in O*NET-linked or curated role data, with Penn, Anthropic Economic Index, and AIOE signals where matched. BLS labor-market context is separate - not generic advice.

Adjacent career paths

Relatedness shows how reachable a move may be. A path is labeled lower exposure only when its score is at least 6 points lower; every row shows the measured difference.

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
72% skills overlap; 8 points lower - lower exposure; Elevated band; ~US$79,860
View path
57
7 more adjacent paths with exposure deltas, salary, demand, and reachability in your Career Report.
Agent Reality Check (on-site workflow preview)

Research, compile, and prepare reports, manuals, correspondence, or other information required by management or governmental agencies.

Check what deployed AI agents can attempt on tasks like this using dated capability evidence. You review the real task before any analysis runs.
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Your AI-Safe Career Report

Every task scored with what to do about it; adjacent paths with honest exposure deltas, salary, demand, and reachability; a skill-gap map; a 30/60/90-day roadmap; Agent Reality Check; plus a résumé and LinkedIn rewrite and professional PDF.
Grounded in O*NET-linked or curated role data, with Penn, Anthropic Economic Index, and AIOE signals where matched. BLS labor-market context is separate.

AI was the most-cited reason for U.S. layoffs through mid-2026 - the workers who adapt earliest fare best. - Challenger, Gray & Christmas, 2026The upside: Workers with AI skills earn a roughly 62% wage premium - adapting pays. - PwC Global AI Jobs Barometer, 2026

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Important: This is an estimate of AI exposure, not a prediction that your job will disappear. It is designed to help you understand how your role may change and improve your career resilience.

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First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers - median pay by US state (BLS OEWS, USD)

New York: US$79,170California: US$77,590Texas: US$64,940Florida: US$64,360

Median annual wage, in USD. US national: US$69,500. More states are being added.

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