As of June 2026, Bakers has an AI-exposure score of 48/100 (Moderate exposure) on the AI-Safe Careers index, blending O*NET tasks, the Anthropic Economic Index, the Penn/OpenAI study, and BLS data. This is an estimate of task exposure, not a prediction of job loss.
Bakers
More exposed than 29% of the roles we track. Median pay ~US$37,160. About 39,900 projected openings a year (BLS 2024–34 — growth plus replacement).
Pay & demand figures are US medians (BLS, in USD) — your local figures will differ. Your exposure score applies broadly.
How you compare to similar Production roles
Your tasks, by AI exposure
No automatable tasks identified for this role — its real, individually-assessed tasks consistently read as augmentable (100%).
- Prepare or maintain inventory or production records.
- Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
- Place dough in pans, molds, or on sheets, and bake in production ovens or on grills.
- Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
- Measure or weigh flour or other ingredients to prepare batters, doughs, fillings, or icings, using scales or graduated containers.
- Check equipment to ensure that it meets health and safety regulations, and perform maintenance or cleaning, as necessary.
- Check products for quality, and identify damaged or expired goods.
- Check the quality of raw materials to ensure that standards and specifications are met.
- Observe color of products being baked, and adjust oven temperatures, humidity, or conveyor speeds accordingly.
- Order or receive supplies or equipment.
- Set oven temperatures, and place items into hot ovens for baking.
- Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
- Combine measured ingredients in bowls of mixing, blending, or cooking machinery.
- Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
- Roll, knead, cut, or shape dough to form sweet rolls, pie crusts, tarts, cookies, or other products.
- Develop new recipes for baked goods.
- Decorate baked goods, such as cakes or pastries.
- Apply glazes, icings, or other toppings to baked goods, using spatulas or brushes.
No durable tasks identified for this role — its real, individually-assessed tasks consistently read as augmentable (100%).
Safer adjacent roles
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Bakers — median pay by US state (BLS OEWS, USD)
Median annual wage, in USD. US national: US$37,160. More states are being added.