As of June 2026, First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers has an AI-exposure score of 63/100 (High exposure) on the AI-Safe Careers index, blending O*NET tasks, the Anthropic Economic Index, the Penn/OpenAI study, and BLS data. This is an estimate of task exposure, not a prediction of job loss.
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
More exposed than 77% of the roles we track. Median pay ~US$74,450. About 67,700 projected openings a year (BLS 2024–34 — growth plus replacement).
Pay & demand figures are US medians (BLS, in USD) — your local figures will differ. Your exposure score applies broadly.
How you compare to similar Production roles
Your tasks, by AI exposure
- Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.
- Calculate labor and equipment requirements and production specifications, using standard formulas.
- Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.
- Keep records of employees' attendance and hours worked.
- Maintain operations data, such as time, production, and cost records, and prepare management reports of production results.
- Observe work and monitor gauges, dials, and other indicators to ensure that operators conform to production or processing standards.
- Evaluate employee performance.
- Confer with management or subordinates to resolve worker problems, complaints, or grievances.
- Determine standards, budgets, production goals, and rates, based on company policies, equipment and labor availability, and workloads.
- Plan and develop new products and production processes.
- Conduct employee training in equipment operations or work and safety procedures, or assign employee training to experienced workers.
- Interpret specifications, blueprints, job orders, and company policies and procedures for workers.
- Requisition materials, supplies, equipment parts, or repair services.
- Recommend or execute personnel actions, such as hirings, evaluations, or promotions.
- Enforce safety and sanitation regulations.
- Recommend or implement measures to motivate employees and to improve production methods, equipment performance, product quality, or efficiency.
- Direct and coordinate the activities of employees engaged in the production or processing of goods, such as inspectors, machine setters, or fabricators.
- Set up and adjust machines and equipment.
- Inspect materials, products, or equipment to detect defects or malfunctions.
- Confer with other supervisors to coordinate operations and activities within or between departments.
No durable tasks identified for this role — its real, individually-assessed tasks consistently read as augmentable (60%).
Safer adjacent roles
Your AI-Safe Career Report
Every task scored with what to do about it · 5–10 safer roles with salary, demand & reachability · skill-gap map · a 30/60/90-day roadmap · plus a résumé & LinkedIn rewrite · PDF.
Grounded in O*NET + the Anthropic Economic Index + BLS — personalized to your role.
AI was the most-cited reason for U.S. layoffs through mid-2026 — the workers who adapt earliest fare best. — Challenger, Gray & Christmas, 2026The upside: Workers with AI skills earn a roughly 62% wage premium — adapting pays. — PwC Global AI Jobs Barometer, 2026
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First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers — median pay by US state (BLS OEWS, USD)
Median annual wage, in USD. US national: US$74,450. More states are being added.