Will AI replace Sailors and Marine Oilers?

No exposure score can predict whether AI will replace this role. The 47/100 score means our current model estimates moderate task exposure from the sources listed on this page. It does not predict an employer decision, headcount, or an individual outcome. The task map below shows the work assessed and where human judgment remains important.

Early-career context (study ages 22-25)

This role is in our Moderate exposure band, not our highest-exposure bands. The study's 16% finding should not be applied directly to this role.

The November 2025 revision reports a 16% relative employment decline for workers ages 22-25 in the most AI-exposed U.S. occupations, after firm-level controls, relative to workers in less-exposed fields and more experienced workers in the same occupations.

Use the task map to identify durable work and the skills worth building early.

Stanford Digital Economy Lab, Canaries in the Coal Mine - November 2025 revision

This is group-level U.S. payroll evidence, not a personal forecast. The authors do not claim that AI alone caused the change, and this context does not alter the exposure score.

Include this sourced early-career context in my report

Role snapshot

What this role usually involves

O*NET 29.1 exact occupation

Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Common titles

Able Bodied Seaman (AB Seaman)Able SeamanDeck HandDeckhandAble Bodied Watchman (AB Watchman)Boat Crew Deck Hand

O*NET job-zone preparation

Job Zone 2 · Job Zone 1-2: Very Little to Some Preparation Needed Usually requires a high school diploma or GED, though some occupations may not. Some occupations may need little or no previous experience; others require several months to a year of experience.

Broad guidance for this preparation level; exact requirements vary by role and employer.

Skills and knowledge

Operation and ControlMonitoringCritical ThinkingComplex Problem SolvingCoordinationJudgment and Decision Making

Work context

Frequent contact with othersConsequence of errorRepeating tasksDecision latitude

Source: O*NET 29.1 exact occupation - Sailors and Marine Oilers, SOC 53-5011.00. Context describes the role; the AI-exposure score remains a separate task-exposure estimate.

Sailors and Marine Oilers tasks, by AI exposure

We analyzed all 20 Sailors and Marine Oilers tasks - 16 automatable and 4 augmentable. The full task map - every task with exactly what to do about each - is in your Career Report.

Adjacent career paths

Unlock my report - $29